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Resource Requirements
1. Long Term Financing Plan
» Up
The long term financing plan is shown in Table 3.2 below, taking account of MTEF commitments for education. It is projected that education recurrent budget requirements will rise to around Riels 950 billion (roughly US$ 240 million, current 2002 prices). This constitutes a three to four fold increase over the projected EFA period. Capital budget requirements (covering facilities and capacity building) are projected to rise to around Riels 233 billion per annum by 2015. However, it should be noted that capital expenditures will increasingly be oriented towards post-basic education beyond 2007/8 when it is projected that primary and lower secondary school facilities development and rehabilitation will be largely completed.
| Table 3.2:Long Term Financing Plans, 2002-2015 |
| |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
| |
MTEF |
MTEF |
MTEF |
MTEF |
PROJ |
PROJ |
| Nominal GDP |
14,359,000 |
15,651,000 |
16,668,315 |
17,751,755 |
24,321,443 |
33,322,485 |
| % change |
7.50% |
9.00% |
6.50% |
6.50% |
6.50% |
6.50% |
| Domestic revenue |
2,193,000 |
2,540,400 |
|
|
|
|
| % GDP |
15.27% |
16.23% |
|
|
|
|
| Current |
2,178,000 |
2,525,400 |
|
|
|
|
| Capital (privatization) |
15,000 |
15,000 |
|
|
|
|
| Total Expenditures |
2,685,133 |
2,864,133 |
3,133,643 |
3,372,834 |
4,985,896 |
6,831,109 |
| % GDP |
18.70% |
18.30% |
18.80% |
19.00% |
20.50% |
20.50% |
| Current |
1,622,567 |
1,799,865 |
2,000,198 |
2,218,969 |
3,283,395 |
4,498,536 |
| % GDP |
11.30% |
11.50% |
12.00% |
12.50% |
13.50% |
13.50% |
| Growth rate |
14.93% |
10.93% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Education |
342,683 |
409,252 |
450,426 |
487,303 |
775,281 |
950,576 |
| % GDP |
2.39% |
2.61% |
2.61% |
2.75% |
3.19% |
3.19% |
| % growth rate |
33.40% |
19.43% |
|
|
|
|
| % total current |
21.12% |
22.74% |
22.52% |
21.96% |
23.61% |
21.13% |
|
| Debt Service |
20,000 |
20,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Capital |
1,062,566 |
1,064,268 |
1,133,445 |
1,153,864 |
1,702,501 |
2,332,574 |
| % GDP |
7.40% |
6.80% |
6.80% |
6.50% |
7.00% |
7.00% |
| Growth rate |
7.79% |
0.16% |
|
|
|
|
| Ratio capital/ recurrent |
65.49% |
59.13% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Education |
94,686 |
70,177 |
90,338 |
121,676 |
170,250 |
233,257 |
| % GDP |
0.66% |
0.45% |
0.54% |
0.69% |
0.70% |
0.70% |
| % total capital |
8.91% |
6.59% |
7.97% |
10.55% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
|
| Total Education |
437,369 |
479,429 |
540,764 |
608,979 |
945,531 |
1,183,834 |
| % total expenditures |
16.29% |
16.74% |
17.26% |
18.06% |
18.96% |
17.33% |
2.Overall Sector and EFA Financing Plan 2002/15
» Up
The overall recurrent costs and assumptions for implementing the overall education sector reforms and the EFA component are provided in Annex 4 (Tables 1-5).
The total costs of EFA implementation, including administration, early childhood education, formal basic education, non-formal education and literacy programs and teacher development will rise from Riels 419 billion (in 2002) to around Riels 855 billion (in 2015) as shown in Table 3.3 below. The share of overall education spending on EFA implementation, including MoEYS funding, other Government Ministries, NGO and private/parental contributions will decline from around 90 per cent (in 2002) to 66 per cent (by 2015). This is consistent with Government/ MoEYS policy to expand post basic education, which will be financed through a public/non-public partnership. The projected public/non-public spending shares for various sub-sectors are shown in Annex 4, tables 4 and 5.
| Table 3.3: Total Recurrent Costs, Sector And EFA Implementation - By Sub-Sector |
| (Millions of Riels) |
2002 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
|
| Administration |
| Enrolment |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Total Cost |
33,923 |
43,040 |
57,978 |
79,154 |
| Early Childhood Education (ECCE) |
| Enrolment |
59,620 |
95,000 |
180,000 |
280,000 |
| Total Cost |
7,378 |
15,455 |
36,352 |
64,685 |
| Primary |
| Enrolment |
2,859,117 |
2,860,335 |
2,382,807 |
2,568,444 |
| Total Cost |
257,197 |
287,194 |
295,353 |
378,657 |
| Lower Secondary |
| Enrolment |
424,003 |
841,743 |
1,302,512 |
1,218,775 |
| Total Cost |
97,553 |
173,645 |
302,339 |
317,163 |
| NFE/Literacy |
| Enrolment |
150,000 |
310,000 |
183,333 |
25,000 |
| Total Cost |
9,600 |
21,680 |
14,863 |
2,350 |
| Teacher Development |
| Enrolment |
11,422 |
20,000 |
15,000 |
10,000 |
| Total Cost |
13,285 |
29,131 |
17,765 |
13,127 |
| Total EFA Cost |
418,936 |
570,146 |
724,652 |
855,135 |
|
| Post Basic Education |
| Enrolment |
127,788 |
221,225 |
724,552 |
1,064,021 |
| Total Cost |
45,614 |
87,086 |
331,717 |
438,865 |
|
| Total Recurrent Cost |
464,550 |
657,232 |
1,056,369 |
1,294,000 |
| Total EFA Cost |
418,936 |
570,146 |
724,652 |
855,135 |
| Total EFA Cost (%) |
90% |
87% |
69% |
66% |
|
Source: Annex 4, Table 1
Note: This financing plan represents the full cost of EFA implementation including MoEYS, other Government Ministries and private sector contributions. |
There are a number of EFA plan, strategies and programmes which are not included in this sector financing plan. For example, ECCD programmes focusing on child health and nutrition and related information education and communication (IEC) programmes for 0-4 year olds are not costed in the programme at this stage. The financing plan for this EFA component is limited to the MoEYS, NGO and community contribution for early childhood care education (ECCE), consistent with agreed policies and targets. The financing plan also incorporates the costs of awareness raising and capacity building for the ECCE programme. However, it should be noted that Commune EFA Commissions will be receiving some financial provisions from the budget outlined in Table 3.3 in order to create and help implement local development plans.
The financing plan does not capture the diverse range of non-formal education, literacy and informal skills training programme costs, managed by various Government and NGO partners. At this stage, the NFE/literacy programme costs are limited to the planned re-entry and functional literacy programmes managed by MoEYS, based on agreed programme expansion targets and financing strategies.
The EFA plan recognises that there are a number of other partners providing a wide range of informal skills training programmes, including on-the-job mentoring and apprenticeships for technical skills training, private provision (e.g., foreign languages, computer training) and short course technical education and vocational training (TVET) by Government ministries, NGOs and private providers.
Consistent with the EFA rolling programme approach, the sector and EFA financing plan will be continually revised and updated to incorporate programmes from other partners as financing details for ECCD, NFE and informal skills training become available. Consistent with agreed EFA programme strategies, other partner ministries will take responsibilities for appropriate programme planning and mobilisation of resources from Government, donor/NGO partners and the private sector.
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