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Table A: Policy Led Projections for Enrolment, Teaching Staff & Classroom
» Enrolment
| |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
| Pre-primary |
86,498 |
93,666 |
100,833 |
108,000 |
115,167 |
122,334 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Primary |
2,634,267 |
2,579,844 |
2,506,241 |
2,442,269 |
2,442,293 |
2,472,301 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lower Secondary |
675,865 |
783,910 |
891,955 |
1,000,000 |
1,108,045 |
1,216,090 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Basic Education |
3,310,132 |
3,363,754 |
3,398,196 |
3,442,269 |
3,550,338 |
3,688,391 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Non-Formal Education |
310,000 |
310,000 |
278,333 |
246,667 |
215,000 |
183,333 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Teacher Training |
10,000 |
10,000 |
10,000 |
10,000 |
10,000 |
10,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Upper Secondary |
212,255 |
241,503 |
270,752 |
300,000 |
329,248 |
358,497 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Higher Education (Public Institutions) |
24,000 |
28,000 |
32,000 |
36,000 |
40,000 |
44,000 |
| Higher Education (Private Institutions) |
50,050 |
51,367 |
52,683 |
54,000 |
55,317 |
56,633 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Public Post Basic (Not Inc. NFE) |
246,255 |
279,503 |
312,752 |
346,000 |
379,248 |
412,497 |
| Public Post Secondary (Not Inc. NFE) |
34,000 |
38,000 |
42,000 |
46,000 |
50,000 |
54,000 |
» Number of Teaching Posts Required
| |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
| Primary |
49,703 |
49,612 |
49,142 |
48,845 |
48,846 |
49,446 |
| PTR (Pupil Teacher Ratio) |
53 |
52 |
51 |
50 |
50 |
50 |
| LS |
20,667 |
21,301 |
21,808 |
22,222 |
24,623 |
27,024 |
PTR (Pupil Teacher Ratio) |
33 |
37 |
41 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
| US |
6,471 |
6,861 |
7,201 |
7,500 |
8,231 |
8,962 |
PTR (Pupil Teacher Ratio) |
33 |
35 |
38 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
» Number of Classrooms Required
| |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
| Primary |
39,514 |
39,535 |
39,207 |
38,972 |
38,973 |
39,452 |
| PCR (Average class size) |
46 |
46 |
47 |
47 |
47 |
47 |
| Double shift rate |
63% |
58% |
54% |
50% |
50% |
50% |
| LS |
9,989 |
11,039 |
11,886 |
12,500 |
13,851 |
15,201 |
| PCR |
45 |
44 |
42 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
| Double shift rate |
66% |
77% |
89% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
| US |
4,542 |
5,458 |
6,444 |
7,500 |
8,231 |
8,962 |
| PCR |
40 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
40 |
| Double shift rate |
29% |
19% |
10% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Notes: 1. Enrolment projections: updated EFA Plan projections with 2002 baseline, consistent with extension of ESP 2004-208
2. Primary PTR not-adjusted for double-shift/multi-grade teachers
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